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Total U.S. electricity sales projected to grow slowly as electricity intensity declines

Electricity sales, as projected in the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s most recent Annual Energy Outlook(AEO2016) Reference case, increase in each sector through 2040. In 2015, 3.7 trillion kilowatthours (kWh) of electricity were sold, and total electricity sales are projected to rise 0.7% annually through the projection period. The residential sector currently purchases the most electricity, with a 38% share of total electricity sales in 2015. However, sales in the commercial sector are projected to surpass those in the residential sector in the early 2020s.

The AEO2016 Reference case, which reflects current laws and regulations, includes the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s Clean Power Plan (CPP).

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